CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs m1x (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0c23fb8fb42fc3d1682f382b666eb87a6766f020d0e5d780d907c2828ed015a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, m1x
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x023e…7334backed KOLESIE | 74c | 1,905$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.44 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked m1x | 25c | 630.3$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.58 | 198 | 29.3%58 W · 140 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed m1x | 31c | 554.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.05 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed KOLESIE | 69c | 479.36$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.22 | 466 | 65.5%305 W · 161 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…b153backed m1x | 27c | 302.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed KOLESIE | 74c | 280.75$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed m1x | 21c | 247.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed m1x | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed m1x | 30c | 170$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 2,536 | 43.1%1,094 W · 1,442 L | +44.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed m1x | 27c | 121.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 509 | 42.8%218 W · 291 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed m1x | 17c | 87.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed m1x | 31c | 76.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked m1x | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked m1x | 27c | 67.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked KOLESIE | 74c | 66.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed m1x | 26c | 64.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed KOLESIE | 76c | 57.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16e…0f4abacked m1x | 28c | 54.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…5853backed m1x | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed m1x | 34c | 48.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…3015backed KOLESIE | 68c | 29.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs m1x (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs m1x - Map 2 WinnerKOLESIE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.