La Liga · resolved market
CD Leganés vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0d29e848f148d0ca0bbb24a2f7ad84366fe2bff25a717f3e81dbc2668a5f9a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Under | 51c | 2,384$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.68 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 1,548$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.93 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 50c | 1,016$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 55c | 1,006$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.12 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 61c | 683.05$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.17 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 24c | 625$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 76c | 595.76$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.77 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 68c | 385.6$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 360.27$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.19 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 62c | 332.4$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.31 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 55c | 300$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed Under | 66c | 286.11$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.11 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 267.22$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 48c | 212.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.05 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Over | 20c | 163.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 24c | 141.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.49 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Under | 54c | 119.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 36c | 52.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 76c | 52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Over | 32c | 46.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 53c | 44.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 76c | 42.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 37c | 40.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 49c | 36.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 51c | 34.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec94…9053backed Under | 77c | 25.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 57c | 24.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Leganés vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Leganés vs. CD Mirandés: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Leganés vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Leganés vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-1.5)CD Mirandés won
- Spread: CD Mirandés (-1.5)CD Leganés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.