South American Leagues · resolved market
Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd102045627d66979e23f5ec7cad09ad2634065c730e1d85535ad0f154cd2a768
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 47c | 1,217$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.26 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,036$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.08 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 815.09$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.94 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 39c | 800.92$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.42 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 46c | 554.05$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.86 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 396.3$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.52 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 54c | 214.26$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.37 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 54c | 213.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 198.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 184.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 54c | 134.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 11c | 94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 54c | 84.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 71.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Over | 46c | 61.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 51.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 50c | 51.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 50.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 74c | 41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 29.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Under | 55c | 27.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 55c | 27.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 55c | 25.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 56c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5)Club León FC won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-2.5)Club León FC won
- Spread: Club León FC (-2.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.