Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1253e14cbe87033d9ab05596fa94b67bf95b78ebf10881b1e395f719de5f76c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kostyukof Andreeva, Kostyuk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Andreeva | 32c | 685$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.06 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…4b17backed Andreeva | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Andreeva | 12c | 257.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Kostyuk | 70c | 251.15$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Andreeva | 30c | 203.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Andreeva | 30c | 203.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…afc1backed Kostyuk | 68c | 198.53$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Kostyuk | 61c | 163$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Kostyuk | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Kostyuk | 68c | 146.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Kostyuk | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Kostyuk | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Kostyuk | 50c | 91.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Andreeva | 32c | 88.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Kostyuk | 50c | 74.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Kostyuk | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Kostyuk | 69c | 69.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Kostyuk | 50c | 54.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Kostyuk | 68c | 54.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Kostyuk | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Kostyuk | 50c | 39.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Kostyuk | 50c | 39.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Kostyuk | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739b…417ebacked Kostyuk | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…1a6abacked Kostyuk | 69c | 25.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Kostyuk | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…6471backed Kostyuk | 68c | 15.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5)this page
- Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra AndreevaMarta Kostyuk won
- Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs AndreevaAndreeva won
- Set 2 Winner: Kostyuk vs AndreevaKostyuk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.