Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd13fd97d6b8d489e5880516d1f8d99556eb1e0818d951a36ead18b2aeeebbd06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,712 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 33c | 767$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.11 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Yes | 3c | 737.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 659$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.08 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 623.63$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.83 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Yes | 34c | 529.41$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed Yes | 3c | 458.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 32c | 457.86$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.76 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 68c | 442.95$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.46 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 11c | 441.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.34 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Yes | 5c | 386.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Yes | 16c | 299.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 261.51$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 32c | 157.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed No | 71c | 118.31$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 32c | 99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 69c | 98.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 47c | 75.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 32c | 68.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 72c | 57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 31c | 54.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 69c | 50.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 37.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 64c | 36.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 36c | 36.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…75b4backed Yes | 33c | 32.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Dundee FC vs. Dundee United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Dundee FC win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.