Lol · resolved market
LoL: KIA.eSuba Academy vs Divernex (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd16c90d0299474201a50edb75773e5ab023902c84b7eb8d3d074a4d75c160d58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Divernexof KIA.eSuba Academy, Divernex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 66c | 8,499$5,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,649.03 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Divernex | 34c | 2,029$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.87 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Divernex | 33c | 1,505$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.35 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…4c8cbacked Divernex | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Divernex | 34c | 767.32$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.52 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…f4b7backed Divernex | 33c | 677.27$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Divernex | 33c | 510.39$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.96 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Divernex | 33c | 430$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Divernex | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Divernex | 34c | 290$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Divernex | 33c | 287.58$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.68 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked KIA.eSuba Academy | 62c | 263.02$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.07 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Divernex | 37c | 181.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.08 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Divernex | 37c | 163$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Divernex | 35c | 149.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…e5e6backed Divernex | 33c | 148$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Divernex | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Divernex | 32c | 91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +72%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Divernex | 34c | 82.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Divernex | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked KIA.eSuba Academy | 66c | 60.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…a496backed Divernex | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +10.8wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Divernex | 35c | 59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Divernex | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Divernex | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Divernex | 40c | 49.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked KIA.eSuba Academy | 62c | 32.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 68c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…294abacked Divernex | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 68c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: KIA.eSuba Academy vs Divernex (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stagethis page
- LoL: KIA.eSuba Academy vs Divernex - Game 2 WinnerDivernex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.