Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Sofia Kenin vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1c6e43bee3b078ddf38909b12a9285daa17c78dc81f872463b9b9488c9ee7a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexandrovaof Kenin, Alexandrova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Kenin | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Alexandrova | 71c | 1,200$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alexandrova | 77c | 1,031$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.66 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Kenin | 4c | 1,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alexandrova | 79c | 761.02$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.21 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Kenin | 29c | 750$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Kenin | 23c | 650$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kenin | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Kenin | 29c | 448.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kenin | 17c | 366$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Kenin | 28c | 310.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed Kenin | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…d6a7backed Kenin | 16c | 231.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kenin | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Alexandrova | 76c | 184.78$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Alexandrova | 79c | 131.84$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Alexandrova | 71c | 115$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Kenin | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Kenin | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Alexandrova | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…c468backed Kenin | 16c | 96.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Kenin | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Alexandrova | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd4…d37abacked Alexandrova | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Kenin | 38c | 52.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Alexandrova | 62c | 50.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Kenin | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kenin | 30c | 49.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…4c1dbacked Alexandrova | 72c | 33.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked Alexandrova | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Alexandrova | 72c | 23.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: Sofia Kenin vs Ekaterina Alexandrovathis page
- Kenin vs. Alexandrova: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Kenin vs. Alexandrova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.