Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1c7949264147f84f9ec3f3ce201e86bcd3a5958efb1a6050209efd4373ed32e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, Gen.G Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Nongshim RedForce | 61c | 969.76$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.21 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Gen.G Esports | 39c | 866.56$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.32 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Gen.G Esports | 39c | 483$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.37 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Gen.G Esports | 39c | 476.19$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.71 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Gen.G Esports | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Nongshim RedForce | 65c | 244.75$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Nongshim RedForce | 40c | 241$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 238.82$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.49 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Gen.G Esports | 10c | 209.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gen.G Esports | 7c | 207.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6140…4c87backed Gen.G Esports | 44c | 108.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Nongshim RedForce | 45c | 79.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Gen.G Esports | 47c | 65.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Gen.G Esports | 43c | 56.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gen.G Esports | 40c | 53.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 40c | 50.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…57ddbacked Nongshim RedForce | 39c | 49.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Gen.G Esports | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Nongshim RedForce | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nongshim RedForce | 77c | 28.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed Gen.G Esports | 45c | 27.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nongshim RedForce | 71c | 26.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 25.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Nongshim RedForce | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Gen.G Esports | 55c | 19.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Gen.G Esports (+1.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.