CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs ShindeN (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd26f47de0a1e8dff039670467d36f74ab85f035a1be474dd5dee820c2b9fba22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof paiN, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ShindeN | 23c | 1,520$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…70cdbacked ShindeN | 18c | 1,068$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.17 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked paiN | 77c | 862.23$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.31 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed ShindeN | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN | 75c | 783.91$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ShindeN | 18c | 522.25$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN | 78c | 453.31$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.26 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ShindeN | 24c | 236.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked ShindeN | 24c | 215.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed paiN | 76c | 207.57$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ShindeN | 12c | 188.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…4568backed paiN | 77c | 172.79$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked paiN | 76c | 152.95$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ShindeN | 28c | 119.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked ShindeN | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked paiN | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed paiN | 74c | 97.81$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked ShindeN | 27c | 95.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed paiN | 66c | 72.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked paiN | 72c | 71.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked paiN | 68c | 66.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa958…c06cbacked ShindeN | 23c | 62.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…c74abacked ShindeN | 24c | 59.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…2c71backed paiN | 77c | 55.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ca…61e4backed paiN | 78c | 50.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed paiN | 73c | 49.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed paiN | 79c | 49.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed paiN | 76c | 45.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d5…5bbebacked paiN | 77c | 44.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed paiN | 55c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca0b…3c12backed ShindeN | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed paiN | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed paiN | 54c | 37.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed paiN | 77c | 32.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed paiN | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…f24fbacked paiN | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed paiN | 77c | 22.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked paiN | 73c | 19.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…ce04backed paiN | 76c | 18.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed paiN | 74c | 15.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.