Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Jacksonville State vs. Sam Houston State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd27893787356866041fc602d1388633e9b5641953152c8cc20db1ebc223546eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sam Houston Stateof Jacksonville State, Sam Houston State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Jacksonville State | 2c | 1,132$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jacksonville State | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sam Houston State | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sam Houston State | 59c | 672.47$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.05 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Jacksonville State | 40c | 471$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.4 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Jacksonville State | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Sam Houston State | 56c | 272.35$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.83 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Jacksonville State | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Jacksonville State | 41c | 158$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…3fd9backed Sam Houston State | 54c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…c161backed Jacksonville State | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Jacksonville State | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…6297backed Jacksonville State | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…fd5fbacked Sam Houston State | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Jacksonville State | 51c | 38.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef6e…565bbacked Sam Houston State | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1f…efdebacked Jacksonville State | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…2740backed Jacksonville State | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x143b…154fbacked Sam Houston State | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…0287backed Sam Houston State | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…b28dbacked Sam Houston State | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…ff7dbacked Jacksonville State | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708c…0e36backed Sam Houston State | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3683…6540backed Jacksonville State | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b29…a183backed Jacksonville State | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…4be7backed Sam Houston State | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c11…91e9backed Sam Houston State | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1a…8d8ebacked Jacksonville State | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48e…f5d2backed Jacksonville State | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2af3backed Jacksonville State | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf178…b760backed Jacksonville State | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…25afbacked Sam Houston State | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…595abacked Sam Houston State | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.