Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wright State Raiders vs. Cleveland State Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd28dad43b6dc56f5d4233c5fa16ddfae36bd893f987e940e7a170142e8b151e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wright State Raidersof Wright State Raiders, Cleveland State Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Cleveland State Vikings | 25c | 3,431$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.28 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wright State Raiders | 75c | 3,223$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.08 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 2c | 2,828$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 26c | 2,105$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.44 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wright State Raiders | 74c | 839.35$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.3 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wright State Raiders | 74c | 521.19$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.11 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Wright State Raiders | 74c | 240.14$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Wright State Raiders | 73c | 238.17$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wright State Raiders | 72c | 231.21$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cleveland State Vikings | 27c | 199.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wright State Raiders | 75c | 171.09$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 29c | 169.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland State Vikings | 29c | 135$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wright State Raiders | 74c | 109.92$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wright State Raiders | 70c | 103.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wright State Raiders | 74c | 76.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cleveland State Vikings | 28c | 73.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 26c | 71.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…8eb4backed Wright State Raiders | 76c | 59.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Wright State Raiders | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Wright State Raiders | 72c | 47.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Wright State Raiders | 76c | 43.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…d0f5backed Cleveland State Vikings | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Wright State Raiders | 74c | 37.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Wright State Raiders | 79c | 27.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Wright State Raiders | 75c | 26.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wright State Raiders | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Wright State Raiders | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wright State Raiders vs. Cleveland State Vikingsthis page
- Spread: Wright State Raiders (-6.5)Wright State Raiders won
- Spread: Wright State Raiders (-7.5)Wright State Raiders won
- Wright State Raiders vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 158.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.