CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2911473dae4680b3a7a97271bf3f311b12de6385e0c009290ed5e93993ed6b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 37c | 7,512$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.23 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Gentle Mates | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 789 | 39.5%312 W · 477 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.8 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 706.84$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.17 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed magic | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 873 | 51.2%447 W · 426 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked magic | 37c | 198$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.16 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed magic | 37c | 198$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.16 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…0c2abacked magic | 39c | 184.62$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked magic | 38c | 39.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e80fbacked magic | 37c | 38.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 243 | 63%153 W · 90 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed magic | 38c | 28.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 23.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 16.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inmagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.