TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: magic vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
magicof magic, Gentle Mates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,655
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,655 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa0e6…23c2backed magic74c4,800$3,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.995563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Gentle Mates37c3,635$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.433,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked magic61c3,201$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.1863157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed magic66c2,500$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.492,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Gentle Mates34c2,290$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.67,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked magic44c2,204$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.0315838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked magic57c1,400$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.4975245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed magic57c1,200$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.9950846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Gentle Mates41c1,050$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.514147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Gentle Mates34c1,050$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.534848.3%168 W · 180 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Gentle Mates38c797.31$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.531,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Gentle Mates43c779.14$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.991,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates34c643.46$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.716,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Gentle Mates43c580$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.444939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Gentle Mates57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28535953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Gentle Mates36c486.92$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.861,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Gentle Mates28c481.93$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.873,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9929…15a8backed magic75c439.88$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8817163.7%109 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Gentle Mates35c393.13$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.22,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Gentle Mates33c384.2$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.982,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked magic60c381.46$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6938941.9%163 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed magic63c359$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.832,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked magic79c340$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.358254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2a…e0d7backed Gentle Mates46c317.03$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3121141.7%88 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked magic45c280$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15419443.3%84 W · 110 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Gentle Mates50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12553850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Gentle Mates32c248.08$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.582,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Gentle Mates37c235.53$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Gentle Mates34c227.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2351446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Gentle Mates36c219.08$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1689046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Gentle Mates35c217.39$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.098153.1%43 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked magic69c205.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.772,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0bd…3338backed magic50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Gentle Mates36c195.45$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.914,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Gentle Mates28c188$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.092,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Gentle Mates40c164.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.518252.4%43 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Gentle Mates44c153.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.761,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed magic79c146.67$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.141475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Gentle Mates36c140.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.54,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Gentle Mates22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012642.9%54 W · 72 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Gentle Mates38c122$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.435,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked magic71c111$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.591,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a1e…c023backed magic59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4118148.6%88 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked magic52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4829156.7%165 W · 126 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed magic57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4317054.7%93 W · 77 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Gentle Mates27c99.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2140137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked magic70c94$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2814661.6%90 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Gentle Mates48c85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.662,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b73…02c0backed magic60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.334072.5%29 W · 11 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed Gentle Mates52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.824260.3%146 W · 96 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed magic69c80$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.824558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Gentle Mates34c76.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0341853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Gentle Mates39c72.92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.358745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2f9…eb15backed magic58c71.97$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2312544%55 W · 70 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed magic76c70.29$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.72,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Gentle Mates29c68.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044641.3%184 W · 262 L-28.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Gentle Mates35c68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.820742.5%88 W · 119 L-17.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Gentle Mates27c63.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1337149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Gentle Mates29c63.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.11,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed magic80c61.25$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.481,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked magic58c61.13$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6914544.8%65 W · 80 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Gentle Mates45c61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2591743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Gentle Mates35c59.66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.883342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked magic53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.581246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked magic58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2129052.4%152 W · 138 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f20…934fbacked magic68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1632463%204 W · 120 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Gentle Mates34c48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.373,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed Gentle Mates43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2059354.8%325 W · 268 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked magic65c46.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1572353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Gentle Mates26c45.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8151942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Gentle Mates32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.848943.6%213 W · 276 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed magic55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3629752.2%155 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Gentle Mates35c35.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5124152.3%126 W · 115 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd674…1351backed magic72c34.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked magic64c31.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.442,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed magic63c31.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8377146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2295…8f0fbacked magic58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.642246.2%195 W · 227 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked magic69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.996264.5%40 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed magic64c19.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.842,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbc99…e38bbacked magic66c16.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.