NHL · resolved market
AHL: Hartford Wolf Pack vs. Providence Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd29625252914b0e27f83a2dbd1454e168ce80dac74fd3a7b80bda2e54dfe09a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Providence Bruinsof Hartford Wolf Pack, Providence Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,765 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Providence Bruins | 69c | 694.82$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.63 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Providence Bruins | 69c | 408.67$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.46 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Providence Bruins | 67c | 404.2$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 33c | 285.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 30c | 274.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 32c | 273.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Providence Bruins | 66c | 261$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 30c | 242.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 30c | 169.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 31c | 162.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Providence Bruins | 69c | 132.18$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 32c | 121.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3c…3206backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 31c | 106.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 32c | 106$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Providence Bruins | 65c | 104.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 35c | 77.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 31c | 77.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…b58bbacked Providence Bruins | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…6d7abacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 31c | 46.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 32c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 30c | 38.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Providence Bruins | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Providence Bruins | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.