World Politics · resolved market
Mexican Presidential Election: Will Xóchitl Gálvez win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2c10628e74b85fae2c89b7a63642960d53bd7533652e076b339e7d6b32f319f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $686,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $619,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $686,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8490…4b13backed Yes | 8c | 42,110$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…4cf5backed Yes | 5c | 41,607$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…2788backed Yes | 9c | 30,422$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…09dabacked Yes | 10c | 27,660$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…df7ebacked Yes | 6c | 22,250$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…dd56backed Yes | 9c | 21,946$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…9cbabacked Yes | 8c | 21,361$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d2…e935backed Yes | 16c | 18,558$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0485…103ebacked Yes | 10c | 15,000$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 6cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe729…6dffbacked Yes | 11c | 13,973$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1ac5backed Yes | 6c | 12,849$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8d…d01dbacked Yes | 5c | 12,758$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d9…c71ebacked Yes | 2c | 9,299$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…d46dbacked Yes | 2c | 8,587$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aff…2b14backed Yes | 3c | 8,359$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f86…0c47backed Yes | 13c | 7,851$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…17fbbacked Yes | 9c | 7,561$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8b…fce7backed Yes | 11c | 6,776$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd731…7e75backed Yes | 11c | 6,775$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…f3cbbacked Yes | 15c | 6,579$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…8b1abacked Yes | 13c | 6,518$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…a943backed Yes | 8c | 6,108$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070c…9d0cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,699$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…db27backed Yes | 11c | 5,392$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 2c | 5,209$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…9687backed Yes | 3c | 4,752$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941c…1d58backed Yes | 13c | 4,632$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f23…b19ebacked Yes | 7c | 4,624$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…a52fbacked Yes | 8c | 4,186$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…aebdbacked Yes | 8c | 3,507$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c9…f4cebacked Yes | 1c | 3,189$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4123…229cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,723$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad9…89d8backed Yes | 2c | 2,665$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3f…7917backed Yes | 11c | 2,634$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…043abacked Yes | 7c | 2,366$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…2d7ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,248$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d58…f84bbacked Yes | 14c | 2,140$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…c683backed Yes | 2c | 2,102$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…53a9backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0398…ba1abacked Yes | 9c | 1,769$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a2…67e1backed Yes | 14c | 1,756$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d6…2109backed Yes | 11c | 1,717$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…e7eebacked Yes | 15c | 1,599$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42be…5b35backed Yes | 13c | 1,510$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…a376backed Yes | 13c | 1,505$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…ef0bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,462$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3c…f150backed Yes | 6c | 1,359$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e4…6c3dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,294$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…73e1backed Yes | 4c | 1,281$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…91a0backed Yes | 14c | 1,270$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…36cdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,267$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd930…da01backed Yes | 8c | 1,261$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…b4fcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,204$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…2ae9backed Yes | 12c | 1,180$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4709…2779backed Yes | 11c | 1,163$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a71…1e7bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,113$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ae…d4ddbacked Yes | 15c | 1,020$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…401ebacked Yes | 12c | 956.58$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdb…e590backed Yes | 13c | 898.61$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac35…6213backed Yes | 13c | 795.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d1…7ec5backed Yes | 12c | 756.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…ba88backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…ca6cbacked Yes | 7c | 705.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…eeeabacked Yes | 7c | 703.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fb…7c06backed Yes | 10c | 666.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…8dd8backed Yes | 5c | 634.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb2…9276backed Yes | 8c | 609.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…3ca6backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9156…90ccbacked Yes | 32c | 599.67$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…3555backed Yes | 5c | 536.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…b2f9backed Yes | 8c | 524.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…ee77backed Yes | 7c | 504.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b9…fe4abacked Yes | 11c | 462.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…9ddabacked Yes | 6c | 457.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…ad2dbacked Yes | 9c | 428.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ee…7fe2backed Yes | 4c | 423.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…057fbacked Yes | 5c | 416.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…1ae8backed Yes | 7c | 407.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffed…447bbacked Yes | 14c | 398.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…fe08backed Yes | 7c | 369.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…984abacked Yes | 15c | 337.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d86…db78backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…8860backed Yes | 10c | 278.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…f698backed Yes | 8c | 195.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…4f9dbacked Yes | 11c | 149.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…a021backed Yes | 9c | 112.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…439bbacked Yes | 16c | 81.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…1b9bbacked Yes | 27c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…e12fbacked No | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexican Presidential Election: Will Xóchitl Gálvez win?this page
- Mexican Presidential Election: Will Claudia Sheinbaum win?Yes won
- Mexican Presidential Election: Will Jorge Álvarez Máynez win?No won
- Mexican Presidential Election: Will another candidate win?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.