CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Dark Moon (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2d8dfd1b8687bf0f3f002341b8c4262901477f12ef9407e79496832e5ebb71c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dark Moonof Sangal ALTERS, Dark Moon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sangal ALTERS | 9c | 1,166$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Dark Moon | 72c | 672.36$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.77 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…4b54backed Sangal ALTERS | 16c | 610$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sangal ALTERS | 43c | 273.62$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Dark Moon | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sangal ALTERS | 24c | 100.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sangal ALTERS | 26c | 93.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x16b6…867fbacked Dark Moon | 66c | 60.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Sangal ALTERS | 32c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.