CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Alter Ego (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2ebe252cafce1bcc7bcb7e9e943f2aea626ddc604726e588010861fc0d6c6cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chinggis Warriorsof Chinggis Warriors, Alter Ego
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,048 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Chinggis Warriors | 44c | 2,564$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.47 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Alter Ego | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…8a9abacked Chinggis Warriors | 43c | 1,221$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f0…a9e5backed Chinggis Warriors | 46c | 1,147$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d1…8458backed Chinggis Warriors | 41c | 1,078$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3a…a68cbacked Chinggis Warriors | 43c | 1,055$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…0721backed Alter Ego | 57c | 768$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…2fc2backed Alter Ego | 59c | 625$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…97f0backed Alter Ego | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589b…f41cbacked Alter Ego | 57c | 555$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…7449backed Alter Ego | 54c | 547$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Chinggis Warriors | 46c | 511.72$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.08 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b9…65a5backed Alter Ego | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Alter Ego | 60c | 460.36$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74ac…6b00backed Alter Ego | 57c | 453$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc4…0947backed Alter Ego | 59c | 453$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alter Ego | 56c | 431.33$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.41 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Chinggis Warriors | 40c | 416$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Alter Ego | 59c | 353.07$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chinggis Warriors | 79c | 297.57$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…bfd6backed Alter Ego | 57c | 252$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…6940backed Alter Ego | 57c | 245$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Chinggis Warriors | 43c | 234.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.96 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Chinggis Warriors | 40c | 207.4$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Alter Ego | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2b…6909backed Alter Ego | 57c | 198$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc680…39eabacked Chinggis Warriors | 43c | 186$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alter Ego | 16c | 170.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Alter Ego | 10c | 165.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cc…9816backed Chinggis Warriors | 43c | 137$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…83eabacked Chinggis Warriors | 43c | 134$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…07c6backed Chinggis Warriors | 43c | 130$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked Alter Ego | 13c | 116.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Alter Ego | 56c | 109.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Alter Ego | 52c | 108.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd40…27a1backed Chinggis Warriors | 43c | 108$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Alter Ego | 52c | 107.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Chinggis Warriors | 47c | 107.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…4c35backed Alter Ego | 31c | 93.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Alter Ego | 30c | 80.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…2008backed Chinggis Warriors | 71c | 69.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Alter Ego | 15c | 68.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Alter Ego | 53c | 58.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…dfd9backed Alter Ego | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Alter Ego | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…c000backed Chinggis Warriors | 61c | 38.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Alter Ego | 41c | 36.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…88dabacked Chinggis Warriors | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Chinggis Warriors | 72c | 22.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…3533backed Chinggis Warriors | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Alter Ego | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…570cbacked Chinggis Warriors | 67c | 15.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.