Tennis · resolved market
ITF Maanshan: Kasidit Samrej vs Pawit Sornlaksup
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd30c83cd7123d519e174eddf6f5a40a126377c11cc68734e3e7a4add16150b5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pawit Sornlaksupof Kasidit Samrej, Pawit Sornlaksup
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 31c | 892.81$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.04 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 69c | 569.45$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.64 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Kasidit Samrej | 30c | 530$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.72 | 197 | 40.6%80 W · 117 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Kasidit Samrej | 53c | 340$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.6 | 532 | 41.5%221 W · 311 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 37c | 327.1$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.68 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kasidit Samrej | 64c | 311.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.66 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 66c | 247.31$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed Kasidit Samrej | 21c | 131.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Kasidit Samrej | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Kasidit Samrej | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Kasidit Samrej | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Kasidit Samrej | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Kasidit Samrej | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 48c | 110.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Kasidit Samrej | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Kasidit Samrej | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Kasidit Samrej | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 52c | 85.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 77c | 74.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kasidit Samrej | 51c | 68.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Kasidit Samrej | 49c | 57.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kasidit Samrej | 62c | 38.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 65c | 25.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Kasidit Samrej | 54c | 23.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1,120 | 56.5%633 W · 487 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1a…ba0bbacked Kasidit Samrej | 67c | 23.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.