Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Ħamrun Spartans FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd30ffa8e057c69ddd4d96b016b3b08046cb551e55946650f0612a05b5f16d5be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NSÍ Runavíkof Ħamrun Spartans FC, NSÍ Runavík
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked NSÍ Runavík | 62c | 1,826$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.33 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Ħamrun Spartans FC | 37c | 1,261$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.76 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Ħamrun Spartans FC | 34c | 621.8$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.41 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ħamrun Spartans FC | 17c | 343.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Ħamrun Spartans FC | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Ħamrun Spartans FC | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Ħamrun Spartans FC | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked NSÍ Runavík | 63c | 250$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed NSÍ Runavík | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed NSÍ Runavík | 66c | 194.94$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed NSÍ Runavík | 65c | 180$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Ħamrun Spartans FC | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed NSÍ Runavík | 80c | 69.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed NSÍ Runavík | 67c | 65.16$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Ħamrun Spartans FC | 32c | 63.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked NSÍ Runavík | 61c | 61.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed NSÍ Runavík | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed NSÍ Runavík | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed NSÍ Runavík | 60c | 49.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Ħamrun Spartans FC | 35c | 42.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Ħamrun Spartans FC | 37c | 39.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ħamrun Spartans FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: NSÍ Runavík (-1.5)Ħamrun Spartans FC won
- Spread: Ħamrun Spartans FC (-2.5)NSÍ Runavík won
- Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík: NSÍ Runavík O/U 0.5Over won
- Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.