Europa Conference League · resolved market
Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa730ddb2eb2733a61e600fd22606285a59746614f99ad35f34bf3369fd201215
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 52c | 653.09$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.52 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 48c | 512$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.76 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 199.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…f040backed Under | 17c | 199.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 18c | 192.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 162.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 55c | 160.36$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 158.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdf…8116backed Over | 47c | 146.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 142.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 56c | 131$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 40c | 128.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 118.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 72c | 115.27$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 49c | 96.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 50c | 92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 53c | 88.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…61febacked Over | 60c | 65.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 45c | 59.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 47.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed Over | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 32c | 38.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 35c | 37.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 47c | 34.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 46c | 22.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 17.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: NSÍ Runavík (-1.5)Ħamrun Spartans FC won
- Spread: Ħamrun Spartans FC (-1.5)NSÍ Runavík won
- Spread: Ħamrun Spartans FC (-2.5)NSÍ Runavík won
- Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík: NSÍ Runavík O/U 0.5Over won
- Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.