CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs TDK - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd35f5786726611a18a27cbb263a3ce1e3f631d1fa18d31a29d6d4973ae57dc22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WW Teamof WW Team, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked WW Team | 72c | 8,895$6,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.8 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked WW Team | 58c | 3,835$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.52 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked TDK | 57c | 3,507$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TDK | 10c | 2,751$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.32 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked TDK | 26c | 2,636$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.86 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TDK | 53c | 1,719$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.62 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed TDK | 53c | 940$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed WW Team | 63c | 780.47$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.73 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TDK | 11c | 691.12$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488a…cb68backed TDK | 18c | 627.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…1c02backed WW Team | 63c | 373.15$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed TDK | 39c | 334.59$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.52 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed WW Team | 48c | 312.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.13 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed TDK | 13c | 300.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed TDK | 20c | 297.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked TDK | 74c | 270.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked TDK | 26c | 264.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed WW Team | 72c | 234.68$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed TDK | 18c | 218.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed WW Team | 56c | 204.13$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed WW Team | 66c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed TDK | 13c | 171$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed TDK | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TDK | 26c | 132.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed WW Team | 39c | 109.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…9488backed TDK | 19c | 109.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed TDK | 18c | 106$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked TDK | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked TDK | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed TDK | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed TDK | 25c | 79.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…ce3bbacked TDK | 47c | 71.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked WW Team | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed TDK | 56c | 50.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked WW Team | 76c | 50.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed TDK | 29c | 45.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed WW Team | 30c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked TDK | 53c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed TDK | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked WW Team | 74c | 26.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d8…c931backed WW Team | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…78e2backed WW Team | 72c | 16.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs TDK - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship PlayoffsWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs TDK - Map 2 WinnerWW Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5)WW Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.