Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3611fe95c4dc36d5668798b1fb7deb7aa01b2c0a683ab94225c675b80e35766
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 49c | 18,019$8,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,850.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 9,987$5,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,910.56 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 50c | 3,293$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.58 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 51c | 450$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 51c | 405$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 213.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 51c | 201.12$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 51c | 180.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 52c | 112$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 51c | 77.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Kholood Saudi Club (-2.5)NEOM SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.