Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3659dee7517927b06b199714b2445042f08744c27a9f3b25c60ccc4ef0a5680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsof UC Riverside Highlanders, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,709 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 14c | 4,002$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.08 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 13c | 2,570$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.45 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 6c | 1,554$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 15c | 1,309$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 16c | 1,213$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.03 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 11c | 1,100$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 13c | 943.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 14cpaid | +475.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 10c | 837.87$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.79 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…1139backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 3c | 791.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 16c | 622.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 14c | 497.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 13c | 472.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 14c | 448.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd3…b751backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 8c | 410.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 13c | 385.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 14c | 355.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 9c | 332.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 15c | 332.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 14c | 316.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c4…fe40backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 14c | 299.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…5d5cbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 13c | 295.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 13c | 295.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 8c | 261.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 14c | 214.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ae…0519backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 14c | 202.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 15c | 199.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 14c | 199.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafdb…7872backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 10c | 190.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…88dabacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 7c | 180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 13c | 165.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 13c | 164.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 9c | 160.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…8024backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 7c | 158$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 12c | 120.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 14c | 115.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 13c | 114.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 10c | 109.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 14c | 99.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 13c | 85.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 13c | 76.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsthis page
- Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-11.5)Hawaii Rainbow Warriors won
- Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-12.5)Hawaii Rainbow Warriors won
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 146.5Over won
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 148.5Over won
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.