CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: EAC Rising (-1.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd422599a8265784bfefbca6dd26e07914d04687b6b31d64ccfba1a394899dfd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EAC Risingof EAC Rising, Alpha Dominion Nation
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cec…91cdbacked EAC Rising | 51c | 5,208$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 49c | 2,834$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.58 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked EAC Rising | 54c | 874.91$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.46 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 47c | 831$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.26 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 49c | 828.12$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 46c | 478.12$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.3 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 10c | 439.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 65c | 151.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 43c | 145.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 40c | 145$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 49c | 108.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…4b1cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 12c | 97.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 45c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked EAC Rising | 35c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 17c | 72.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…fcdfbacked EAC Rising | 54c | 69.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked EAC Rising | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 17c | 61.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed EAC Rising | 79c | 59.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a20…4e71backed EAC Rising | 77c | 19.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: EAC Rising (-1.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: EAC Rising vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsEAC Rising won
- Counter-Strike: EAC Rising vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 1 WinnerEAC Rising won
- Counter-Strike: EAC Rising vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 2 WinnerEAC Rising won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.