South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Talleres vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4606d315ad2963659ba62007c8d0d0e44d10185c5d4f1ad6b7869149cbbd99f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 73c | 2,058$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.15 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 35c | 599.48$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.66 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 18c | 569$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.58 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 15c | 333.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.45 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 7c | 212.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.62 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 23c | 174.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.23 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1d15backed Over | 36c | 83.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…50d8backed Over | 36c | 71.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5f…c379backed Over | 36c | 70.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…356cbacked Over | 36c | 65.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…d543backed Under | 66c | 46.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…f70ebacked Under | 66c | 44.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7825…887fbacked Under | 66c | 43.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a490backed Over | 36c | 43.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…ecf4backed Over | 36c | 41.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd87f…4bb5backed Under | 66c | 39.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b8…1e96backed Under | 66c | 38.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04b…5af7backed Under | 66c | 37.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fa…83d2backed Under | 66c | 37.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc43b…5377backed Under | 66c | 36.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Under | 42c | 35.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ce…16b5backed Under | 66c | 32.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a3…0b0ebacked Over | 36c | 32.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75f…3277backed Under | 66c | 32.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e5…7f73backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8820…f3c6backed Over | 36c | 28.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…d83cbacked Under | 66c | 27.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf024…5746backed Under | 66c | 23.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6742…1dacbacked Under | 66c | 21.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…ebf0backed Under | 66c | 21.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…c8bcbacked Under | 66c | 17.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Talleres vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Talleres vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Talleres (-1.5)CA Newell's Old Boys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.