Premier League · resolved market
Will Barnet FC win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd477f23599a0fa083f54ed81704f9aa79fa71960fca65966c9162eea6f8d54f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 23c | 1,607$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.24 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 78c | 1,372$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.23 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 3c | 444.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Yes | 5c | 371.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 340.17$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 162$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 161.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 152.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 77c | 134.21$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 24c | 97.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Yes | 24c | 96.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…f43dbacked Yes | 22c | 91.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…7ad0backed No | 42c | 80.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…a8abbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 75.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 46.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed No | 72c | 42.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 58c | 36.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 79c | 31.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 77c | 30.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 48c | 27.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 75c | 19.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barnet FC win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Cambridge United FC vs. Barnet FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-08-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.