CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd492b88710846e97d459c4b80f587b8b0923d927921a06a7d55209604ad7003a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ODDIKof ODDIK, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked ODDIK | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.16 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed ODDIK | 60c | 571.92$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Sharks | 40c | 550.98$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.22 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sharks | 29c | 109.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Sharks | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sharks | 38c | 94.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sharks | 44c | 91.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…1931backed Sharks | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed ODDIK | 59c | 69.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…d9d3backed ODDIK | 70c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ODDIK | 69c | 52.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4025…33e2backed ODDIK | 60c | 51.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ODDIK | 64c | 45.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9db…3999backed ODDIK | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Sharks (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 PlayoffsODDIK won
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Sharks - Map 1 WinnerODDIK won
- Map Handicap: SHK (-1.5) vs ODDIK (+1.5)ODDIK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.