Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Argentina vs Mexico
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd494e152fd0da1c22f0dd99767f7362265ef8c2b2f31012600923b96f3c73aa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Argentinaof Argentina, Mexico
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,559 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mexico | 30c | 3,812$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.49 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Argentina | 70c | 3,667$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.15 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mexico | 25c | 2,607$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.2 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Mexico | 2c | 1,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Mexico | 4c | 999.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Argentina | 73c | 890$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.59 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mexico | 23c | 718.67$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.59 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…d12ebacked Mexico | 31c | 620$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Mexico | 26c | 603.41$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…4439backed Mexico | 30c | 570$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…17fcbacked Mexico | 30c | 570$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mexico | 25c | 555.22$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Argentina | 72c | 415$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.77 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Argentina | 70c | 356.39$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mexico | 9c | 346.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Mexico | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab7…3af7backed Argentina | 69c | 330$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked Argentina | 69c | 319.5$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Mexico | 29c | 306$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mexico | 24c | 305.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Argentina | 75c | 298$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234f…db15backed Argentina | 70c | 290$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…4102backed Argentina | 70c | 290$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa565…ae14backed Argentina | 69c | 290$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…ad85backed Argentina | 70c | 280$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…495ebacked Argentina | 70c | 280$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Argentina | 75c | 266$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Argentina | 74c | 260$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…c57fbacked Mexico | 22c | 232$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Mexico | 32c | 199.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mexico | 29c | 198.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Mexico | 28c | 177.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…42d4backed Argentina | 76c | 174.5$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Mexico | 29c | 170.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Argentina | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Mexico | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…5845backed Argentina | 68c | 120.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Argentina | 69c | 114.84$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Mexico | 31c | 113.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Mexico | 10c | 103.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mexico | 13c | 102$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Mexico | 28c | 97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Mexico | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mexico | 23c | 71.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 164 | 16.5%27 W · 137 L | -22.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Mexico | 30c | 56.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…2abfbacked Argentina | 69c | 45.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d8…682abacked Argentina | 69c | 43.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mexico | 27c | 37.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Mexico | 29c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Argentina | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Argentina | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…ada9backed Argentina | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Argentina | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Argentina | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.