Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tennessee vs. Ole Miss
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4fbcc24c9cf2e6c81ffb2802285ce8832337548197d49263234c030edf18d04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ole Missof Tennessee, Ole Miss
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tennessee | 43c | 1,167$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.95 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202a…7779backed Tennessee | 52c | 442$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…ddd9backed Ole Miss | 48c | 306$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…6b88backed Ole Miss | 65c | 274$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…36e1backed Ole Miss | 48c | 252$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ole Miss | 42c | 192.76$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Tennessee | 58c | 184.28$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2323…3e4ebacked Ole Miss | 65c | 178$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…fae1backed Ole Miss | 57c | 124$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd173…0b6bbacked Ole Miss | 49c | 104$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 43cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…f9d8backed Tennessee | 49c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…bc10backed Tennessee | 52c | 73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…e5f7backed Ole Miss | 51c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Ole Miss | 41c | 55.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd3…1d51backed Ole Miss | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b149backed Tennessee | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…c00ebacked Tennessee | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…9397backed Ole Miss | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Tennessee | 57c | 50.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tennessee | 51c | 47.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…e0dcbacked Ole Miss | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a25…0deebacked Tennessee | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…91e4backed Ole Miss | 41c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97a…57dabacked Ole Miss | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Ole Miss | 42c | 43.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…5a6dbacked Tennessee | 52c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa246…7589backed Ole Miss | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…6f2bbacked Tennessee | 58c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34a…9db7backed Ole Miss | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…e872backed Ole Miss | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…ecd4backed Ole Miss | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…b122backed Ole Miss | 41c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…f2fdbacked Ole Miss | 42c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…b291backed Tennessee | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2caf…c66ebacked Ole Miss | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…849ebacked Ole Miss | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…c644backed Ole Miss | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a95…9475backed Tennessee | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0f…74ebbacked Ole Miss | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa213…d9a1backed Ole Miss | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…8157backed Tennessee | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x095a…9ff7backed Tennessee | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af8…4de5backed Ole Miss | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd02…d10cbacked Ole Miss | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…65dfbacked Tennessee | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1305…4731backed Ole Miss | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…df0cbacked Tennessee | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e8…a682backed Ole Miss | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5508…90ffbacked Ole Miss | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…eaf8backed Tennessee | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…1ff2backed Tennessee | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6448…bcdfbacked Tennessee | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc15…5159backed Tennessee | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1c…3152backed Tennessee | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e94…4ed6backed Ole Miss | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ca…d3e8backed Tennessee | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdea5…68fdbacked Ole Miss | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c70…a5cbbacked Tennessee | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…e176backed Ole Miss | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ff…cd17backed Tennessee | 59c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…ec1abacked Ole Miss | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa608…e022backed Ole Miss | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4834…5675backed Tennessee | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…1380backed Ole Miss | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5a…8747backed Ole Miss | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Tennessee | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…86b3backed Tennessee | 59c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda05…d152backed Tennessee | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207c…7d4fbacked Tennessee | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…13fbbacked Tennessee | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c6…bd22backed Tennessee | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.