Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Washington Huskies vs. Colorado Buffaloes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd514cdb9f928d71b09f060b56af083713a93a8c324d9b58f6e04fcdaa6c5cdfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Buffaloesof Washington Huskies, Colorado Buffaloes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Washington Huskies | 56c | 2,802$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.12 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Washington Huskies | 56c | 1,140$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.4 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Washington Huskies | 14c | 1,117$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.43 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado Buffaloes | 62c | 1,001$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.48 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…726fbacked Washington Huskies | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Colorado Buffaloes | 57c | 310.35$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb789…f50bbacked Washington Huskies | 8c | 250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Huskies | 46c | 230$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.67 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Washington Huskies | 32c | 223.74$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Washington Huskies | 10c | 105$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed Washington Huskies | 22c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Washington Huskies | 22c | 58.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Washington Huskies | 56c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397a…59febacked Washington Huskies | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Colorado Buffaloes | 71c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.