Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UAB Blazers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd52187229be8910fa5f34083a551a3f41fb1df9ff20b3f19f0d5d20e5d034fbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Texas Mean Greenof UAB Blazers, North Texas Mean Green
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed UAB Blazers | 52c | 49,793$25,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,888.99 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed North Texas Mean Green | 48c | 49,239$23,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,588.95 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed North Texas Mean Green | 52c | 3,436$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.55 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UAB Blazers | 48c | 2,515$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.84 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked UAB Blazers | 66c | 1,508$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.12 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed North Texas Mean Green | 39c | 1,246$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.46 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed UAB Blazers | 53c | 1,226$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.77 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked UAB Blazers | 52c | 1,174$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.23 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UAB Blazers | 46c | 1,045$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.46 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked North Texas Mean Green | 51c | 694.47$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.19 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Texas Mean Green | 48c | 312.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.2 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Texas Mean Green | 51c | 254.87$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed UAB Blazers | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c5…03eabacked UAB Blazers | 52c | 184.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed North Texas Mean Green | 56c | 117.66$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed North Texas Mean Green | 50c | 99.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked North Texas Mean Green | 53c | 96.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed North Texas Mean Green | 62c | 96.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked North Texas Mean Green | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed UAB Blazers | 44c | 69.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed UAB Blazers | 40c | 52.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -9.9wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…ffe3backed UAB Blazers | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed North Texas Mean Green | 51c | 48.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed UAB Blazers | 42c | 47.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked UAB Blazers | 53c | 46.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed North Texas Mean Green | 53c | 43.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed North Texas Mean Green | 50c | 40.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…f6e4backed UAB Blazers | 50c | 39.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed North Texas Mean Green | 54c | 37.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed North Texas Mean Green | 61c | 31.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked UAB Blazers | 43c | 30.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed North Texas Mean Green | 39c | 25.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed UAB Blazers | 44c | 25.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked North Texas Mean Green | 47c | 23.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…314dbacked UAB Blazers | 67c | 20.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UAB Blazers (-4.5)this page
- North Texas Mean Green vs. UAB BlazersNorth Texas Mean Green won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 141.5Under won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.