Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs alohasquad (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5499287459f6f257e0a3bc43122765c527c2f1a667dac3e3409da889a0cc0c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Team Lynx, alohasquad
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Lynx | 58c | 499.48$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.52 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed alohasquad | 36c | 451.57$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.57 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed alohasquad | 42c | 439.45$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.52 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked alohasquad | 43c | 326.8$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Lynx | 57c | 297.17$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed alohasquad | 19c | 277.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Team Lynx | 77c | 260.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked alohasquad | 9c | 249.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Lynx | 58c | 154.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Lynx | 62c | 118.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed alohasquad | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed alohasquad | 41c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Team Lynx | 75c | 78.43$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Team Lynx | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f96…123cbacked alohasquad | 55c | 71.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed alohasquad | 25c | 70.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Team Lynx | 55c | 40.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed alohasquad | 46c | 36.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed alohasquad | 46c | 21.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Team Lynx | 56c | 17.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Team Lynx | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…fdcabacked Team Lynx | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs alohasquad (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs alohasquad - Game 1 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs alohasquad - Game 2 WinnerTeam Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.