TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will another party win the Northwest Territories seat in the next Canadian Election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,183,091
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,429

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,183,091 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c12,294$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.293614.4%16 W · 345 L-0.4wins0.00per pick5cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c11,049$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.184121%4 W · 408 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+171.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ae…3fa0backed Yes0c10,986$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x856c…8fddbacked Yes0c10,819$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6488…08e9backed Yes0c9,155$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1dc…2dc3backed Yes0c9,155$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc56…58b6backed Yes0c9,155$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ac…343abacked Yes0c9,016$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b2…86b8backed Yes0c9,016$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6db…1446backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c80…be67backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa331…f389backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x840e…2194backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a0f…751cbacked Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59f8…48a1backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9c…8147backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3007…4fe5backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdead…5780backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc493…9ac3backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b94…2a14backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x847e…8bc4backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b98…4f94backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d1…ced0backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8857…348fbacked Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x092f…9854backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x909b…fcb8backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1359…cca8backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea1…6707backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d47…5dadbacked Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3dd…cdc3backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…e3bbbacked Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaf0…f9e3backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b2…2dc5backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5d…9c39backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f0a…f632backed Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815e…aa5cbacked Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3d2…268fbacked Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0593…138cbacked Yes0c7,324$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x816d…1f3ebacked Yes0c7,213$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c04…b14fbacked Yes0c7,213$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…ecb1backed Yes0c7,213$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eab…a337backed Yes0c7,213$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x356f…6929backed Yes0c7,213$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd865…66dfbacked Yes0c7,213$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e8…be93backed Yes0c7,213$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c9b…9b53backed Yes1c7,213$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb25e…a98ebacked Yes0c7,213$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5165…e977backed Yes0c7,213$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca62…1b3bbacked Yes0c7,213$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ce…31adbacked Yes0c7,213$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb83a…7711backed Yes0c7,213$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219c…a03abacked Yes0c7,213$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510d…b110backed Yes0c7,213$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea09…9d4bbacked Yes0c7,213$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e8…c144backed Yes1c7,213$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a1…47c5backed Yes1c7,213$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ece…08a4backed Yes1c7,213$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8947…eaa0backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa96…e8bbbacked Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e05…053cbacked Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08b7…480abacked Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf22…eb00backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bfc…d119backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3779…fa3ebacked Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9caa…1641backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb597…9fcebacked Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac04…6a46backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6bb…1cc2backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x608c…eb68backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3888…100abacked Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…fcf4backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a18…1ac7backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac5…2480backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a3a…e801backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9922…b65ebacked Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17d7…c168backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f2…4954backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9deb…6fb2backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b54…f0d6backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac9…7c5bbacked Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7684…4799backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb4…4214backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc312…794dbacked Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb44c…3581backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd572…eaa2backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb85…7aeebacked Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e5…1e2dbacked Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10c9…1bd1backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…9432backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfafc…855dbacked Yes0c5,493$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…40cabacked Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb383…93cfbacked Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73cb…bf80backed Yes0c5,493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x692d…5b40backed Yes1c5,410$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755e…ed1dbacked Yes0c5,410$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff2c…a8b2backed Yes0c5,410$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa111…90d5backed Yes0c5,410$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ee…9d6bbacked Yes0c5,410$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f3c…2d9cbacked Yes0c5,410$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e41…f7babacked Yes0c5,410$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.