F1 · resolved market
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5524e991627d8adf8a0dfea4ef5d3c054d91cfdff0de693c33655673bd8c9dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 11c | 4,900$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 3c | 1,922$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +150%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 75c | 1,049$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.84 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…4e0ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,020$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 25c | 799.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…cb96backed No | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33c…b882backed Yes | 6c | 307.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6a…b380backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 75c | 37.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 74c | 13.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.