Premier League · resolved market
Coventry City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd57f011294882e40afcce136cb2bf13101dc04b1c5594c16e3166d9a701838b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 2,074$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.33 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 1,357$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.1 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 9c | 1,100$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 58c | 1,088$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.69 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 1,007$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.75 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 50c | 749.49$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.75 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 527.3$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.24 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 10c | 412.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…3b61backed Over | 40c | 287.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…d5a7backed Over | 58c | 217.5$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…83dbbacked Under | 10c | 207.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 9cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 57c | 190$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 120.06$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 36c | 104.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 38c | 86.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 42c | 82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 42c | 60.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Over | 80c | 56.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 25 | 92%23 W · 2 L | +8.7wins | +0.35per pick | 57cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 57c | 42.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…1805backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 77c | 13.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coventry City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Coventry City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-2.5)Stoke City FC won
- Spread: Stoke City FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
- Spread: Stoke City FC (-2.5)Coventry City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.