South American Leagues · resolved market
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5979edf1568d126590f791785253208520864d0a7e832e825c675058a1daeef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 1,038$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.18 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Under | 68c | 894.63$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.35 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 698.28$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 49c | 394.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.91 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 32c | 349.38$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.58 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 68c | 294.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 66c | 261.22$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.22 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa95c…1b63backed Under | 5c | 250.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 32c | 238.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.12 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 32c | 231.18$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Over | 52c | 217.52$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 215.54$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Over | 28c | 211.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 58c | 210.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.97 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 170.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 48c | 158.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 30c | 148.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 63c | 125$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 56c | 104.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 51c | 97.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 89.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Over | 51c | 59.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 54.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 57c | 51.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 56c | 50.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…c953backed Over | 60c | 39.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 68c | 39.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Under | 50c | 21.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 68c | 18.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 68c | 18.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1d…7132backed Under | 77c | 15.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5this page
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Talleres: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Talleres: O/U 1.5Over won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Talleres: O/U 3.5Under won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Talleres: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Talleres (-2.5)CSyD Defensa y Justicia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.