CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Millennium Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5c822ce4e3f73c25b9c9c97c9847f2cf63d6e511c5b7d21d403a0fc123d1dc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Millennium Esportsof LPH Gaming, Millennium Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked LPH Gaming | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Millennium Esports | 46c | 2,517$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.3 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed LPH Gaming | 52c | 853.25$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.15 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Millennium Esports | 46c | 549.55$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.76 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked LPH Gaming | 67c | 261.19$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Millennium Esports | 50c | 231.1$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Millennium Esports | 51c | 191$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Millennium Esports | 48c | 174.53$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.04 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Millennium Esports | 50c | 161.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaab…0456backed Millennium Esports | 64c | 113.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked LPH Gaming | 50c | 80.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Millennium Esports | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed LPH Gaming | 60c | 57.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Millennium Esports | 46c | 50.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Millennium Esports | 69c | 47.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Millennium Esports | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LPH Gaming | 33c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Millennium Esports | 47c | 42.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…19f8backed Millennium Esports | 46c | 32.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Millennium Esports | 53c | 32.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Millennium Esports | 69c | 28.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Millennium Esports | 46c | 26.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Millennium Esports | 51c | 20.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Millennium Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Millennium Esports (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsMillennium Esports won
- Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Millennium Esports - Map 1 WinnerMillennium Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.