Cricket · resolved market
ILT20: Abu Dhabi Knight Riders vs Gulf Giants (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5f9c6cfa18fd0b42da64973a11d41e547db1e6141bb2357676ceef010a381ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abu Dhabi Knight Ridersof Abu Dhabi Knight Riders, Gulf Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Gulf Giants | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Gulf Giants | 42c | 1,569$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.01 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 57c | 1,386$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.14 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Gulf Giants | 47c | 857.76$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.46 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Gulf Giants | 19c | 587.49$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 78c | 495.99$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 52c | 493.29$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.78 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e44…53d0backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 54c | 379.92$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.33 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 54c | 336.13$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.08 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Gulf Giants | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Gulf Giants | 54c | 284.61$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.4 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…4637backed Gulf Giants | 50c | 262.75$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.29 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 53c | 244$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gulf Giants | 18c | 234.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…94fbbacked Gulf Giants | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Gulf Giants | 47c | 212.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…c78bbacked Gulf Giants | 52c | 202.11$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 62c | 155.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Gulf Giants | 30c | 143.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…3f53backed Gulf Giants | 45c | 110.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Gulf Giants | 13c | 96.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x44c3…5cc1backed Gulf Giants | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 55c | 75.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00eb…9b07backed Gulf Giants | 22c | 69.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 54c | 62.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 328 | 46.3%152 W · 176 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 73c | 54.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 53c | 49.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a4…d89fbacked Gulf Giants | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 47c | 42.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…3487backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Gulf Giants | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac1…8e1dbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 49c | 26.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553f…0483backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 48c | 22.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Gulf Giants | 52c | 21.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…86c0backed Gulf Giants | 53c | 19.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 56c | 18.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…a337backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 59c | 17.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.