TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Ursa - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ursaof BetBoom Team, Ursa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,795
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,825

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,795 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1c93…33d5backed BetBoom Team50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40048437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ursa59c773.98$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.032,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa60c588.63$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.454,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Ursa58c555.54$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.971,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed BetBoom Team40c274.74$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.935848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed BetBoom Team40c265.1$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0465546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team18c116.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.26,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed BetBoom Team41c91.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5720045.5%91 W · 109 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Ursa50c81.34$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.672,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed BetBoom Team18c68.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0144748.1%215 W · 232 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Ursa50c58.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.11,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Ursa65c35.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3920150.7%102 W · 99 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd067…9b9abacked Ursa59c35.76$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7145663.6%290 W · 166 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked BetBoom Team41c32.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.540148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xded7…a1a9backed BetBoom Team46c28.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked BetBoom Team39c26.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4471951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.