Premier League · resolved market
Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd674e8b8b8fd762f4be0f544cfc050f238ce56e4ac0f3546f8d890e047da57cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 19c | 2,316$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.27 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 15c | 1,962$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.45 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 1,075$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.78 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 39c | 507.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 2c | 470.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 6c | 321.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 13c | 244.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 21c | 100.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 14c | 76.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 80c | 47.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Under | 56c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 78c | 25.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…612bbacked Under | 61c | 24.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 56c | 18.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 78c | 14.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 5.5this page
- Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-1.5)Queens Park Rangers FC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-2.5)Queens Park Rangers FC won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-1.5)Queens Park Rangers FC won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-2.5)Portsmouth FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.