Premier League · resolved market
Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x994e46cf33e258caf15348df1dc468cbcd9b024dc827cfdab4e3c59a070429cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf438…9559backed Under | 53c | 4,753$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 2,391$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.07 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 2,190$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.25 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…a14cbacked Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 1,052$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.25 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 46c | 1,028$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 50c | 830.68$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.34 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 46c | 748.94$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.43 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 46c | 748.15$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 57c | 721.46$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 43c | 638.31$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.84 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 48c | 437$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.45 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 48c | 437$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.45 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Over | 44c | 405.53$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 41cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 45c | 367.38$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.69 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 56c | 357.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 47c | 325$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.25 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Over | 47c | 308.16$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 62c | 265.89$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 255.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.23 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 197.21$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 47c | 118$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Over | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 56c | 50.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 49.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 48.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 62c | 31.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 50c | 30.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Over | 46c | 28.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 44c | 27.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-1.5)Queens Park Rangers FC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-2.5)Queens Park Rangers FC won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-1.5)Queens Park Rangers FC won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-2.5)Portsmouth FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.