Tennis · resolved market
ITF Takasaki: Katy Dunne vs Raluca Georgiana Serban
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6b0c86e4940ff0fd85f78c73c1e8c4fc2292338e3a7c90eeff1a1492922f6ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raluca Georgiana Serbanof Katy Dunne, Raluca Georgiana Serban
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Katy Dunne | 30c | 249.28$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Raluca Georgiana Serban | 39c | 205.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.24 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Katy Dunne | 19c | 136.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Raluca Georgiana Serban | 43c | 130.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed Raluca Georgiana Serban | 43c | 125$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Katy Dunne | 57c | 125$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed Katy Dunne | 58c | 125$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 102 | 64.7%66 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Raluca Georgiana Serban | 43c | 125$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b73…38a8backed Katy Dunne | 44c | 106.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Katy Dunne | 57c | 76.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Raluca Georgiana Serban | 67c | 74.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 128 | 36.7%47 W · 81 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Katy Dunne | 29c | 48.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Katy Dunne | 40c | 46.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…14fcbacked Raluca Georgiana Serban | 66c | 38.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Raluca Georgiana Serban | 72c | 35.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Raluca Georgiana Serban | 42c | 35.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Katy Dunne | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Raluca Georgiana Serban | 60c | 28.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Raluca Georgiana Serban | 79c | 27.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Raluca Georgiana Serban | 70c | 22.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…b31bbacked Katy Dunne | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Katy Dunne | 56c | 18.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.