South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tucumán win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6cff419c41cf464e6a5bdb5cb2d1408bb00e8bf2b609fafa23c87c7481bcf1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 44c | 50,000$21,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,200 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 55c | 19,459$10,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,702.35 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 62c | 9,622$5,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,965.64 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 37c | 1,672$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.77 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed No | 33c | 599.88$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.96 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 519.19$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.13 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 507.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 48c | 341.07$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e6…8852backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 56c | 291.91$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.93 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 19c | 252.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 188$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 35c | 187.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 65c | 154.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 57c | 68.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…10b6backed No | 57c | 50.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1535…c4dfbacked Yes | 73c | 36.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…b1e4backed Yes | 73c | 32.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 58c | 24.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 55c | 23.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…0e11backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will CA Tucumán vs. CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba win on 2025-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.