Tennis · resolved market
ITF Toyama: Hiromi Abe vs Chia Yi Tsao
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6faf0d80f3a82c7511a0f6bb4b7ad98053f0c3478e6cd0fcb3227d823d96469
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hiromi Abeof Hiromi Abe, Chia Yi Tsao
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chia Yi Tsao | 10c | 659.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Chia Yi Tsao | 7c | 646$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Chia Yi Tsao | 22c | 561.72$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.58 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chia Yi Tsao | 10c | 541.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hiromi Abe | 78c | 450.9$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Chia Yi Tsao | 23c | 248.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Chia Yi Tsao | 9c | 217.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Hiromi Abe | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Chia Yi Tsao | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Chia Yi Tsao | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Chia Yi Tsao | 16c | 111$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Chia Yi Tsao | 17c | 101.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c60…4404backed Hiromi Abe | 77c | 79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Chia Yi Tsao | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Hiromi Abe | 76c | 56.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hiromi Abe | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Hiromi Abe | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a2…a062backed Hiromi Abe | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 74cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.