Fifa International · resolved market
Ché Adams: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd71b23e7053feba66c244929de837ea6e8e631d70a22ae8e875bc1973ae1d741
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 5 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd00a…8126backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 15c | 267.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a74…8327backed Yes | 17c | 183$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…d454backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc2…b720backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ché Adams: 1+ goalsthis page
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ayoube Amaimouni: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ayoube Amaimouni: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 1+ shotsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Bilal El Khannouss: 2+ shotsYes won
- Bilal El Khannouss: 3+ goalsNo won
- Bilal El Khannouss: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ assistsYes won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Chemsdine Talbi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Chemsdine Talbi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ché Adams: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Craig Gordon: 4+ savesNo won
- George Hirst: 3+ goalsNo won
- George Hirst: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gessime Yassine: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gessime Yassine: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ismael Saibari: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 3+ shotsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lawrence Shankland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Munir El Kajoui: 2+ savesNo won
- Ross Stewart: 3+ goalsNo won
- Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.