Fifa International · resolved market
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d439b7edaf84684bac09f8ffce7d5da84b0996baea0f40b942bc8703658b9f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 50c | 8,083$4,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,041.92 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 66c | 4,912$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,242.18 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Yes | 40c | 4,357$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.87 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 67c | 2,681$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.57 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 33c | 2,227$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.39 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…5e20backed Yes | 34c | 2,206$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.88 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,912$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.76 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802e…76fdbacked Yes | 74c | 1,485$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.62 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes | 42c | 1,333$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.98 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 33c | 750$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 67c | 352.38$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.1 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 33c | 283.67$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.06 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Yes | 43c | 261.41$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…099dbacked Yes | 41c | 259.13$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.37 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cc…4c9abacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 70c | 149.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc843…32b7backed Yes | 33c | 145.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa458…24dfbacked Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab24…ec46backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 71c | 90$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 74c | 90$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 33c | 89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…8f69backed Yes | 29c | 85.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…9024backed Yes | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…bd16backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Yes | 33c | 66.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 33c | 63.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…4f95backed Yes | 31c | 62.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 75c | 61.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x111a…acebbacked Yes | 25c | 60.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…93e0backed Yes | 34c | 54.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…da77backed Yes | 33c | 54.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 33c | 51.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…10d5backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 74c | 49.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 66c | 46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…9716backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4e…d20dbacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0c41backed Yes | 25c | 43.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a74…8327backed Yes | 33c | 40.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b3…3014backed Yes | 47c | 36.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 75c | 33.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…0f92backed Yes | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576a…8677backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 67c | 22.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 67c | 17.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsthis page
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ayoube Amaimouni: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ayoube Amaimouni: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 1+ shotsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Bilal El Khannouss: 2+ shotsYes won
- Bilal El Khannouss: 3+ goalsNo won
- Bilal El Khannouss: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ assistsYes won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Chemsdine Talbi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Chemsdine Talbi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ché Adams: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ché Adams: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Craig Gordon: 4+ savesNo won
- George Hirst: 3+ goalsNo won
- George Hirst: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gessime Yassine: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gessime Yassine: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 3+ shotsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lawrence Shankland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Munir El Kajoui: 2+ savesNo won
- Ross Stewart: 3+ goalsNo won
- Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.