Asian League · resolved market
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7436ce1a1de7b7ccf6d278286f1d9e658ad379f85dcf6a93ba0beed013bbfd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 3,244$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.72 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 35c | 2,675$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.42 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 1,101$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.36 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…93dfbacked Yes | 46c | 1,049$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.75 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 50c | 208$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 62c | 199.72$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…d5a3backed Yes | 34c | 108.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…5702backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 50c | 60.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 36c | 52.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 53c | 49.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 31.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 49c | 31.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 67c | 28.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…007abacked No | 56c | 26.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed No | 68c | 16.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 1.5Over won
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 2.5Under won
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5Under won
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Machida Zelvia (-1.5)FC Machida Zelvia won
- Spread: FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5)JEF United Ichihara Chiba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.