Euroleague · resolved market
Paris Basketball vs. BC Dubai
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd744caafccb80927225dfe15a46dd938baf2f60ae2d89b81293666ed58eae21f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BC Dubaiof Paris Basketball, BC Dubai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Paris Basketball | 3c | 2,257$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Paris Basketball | 13c | 760.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed BC Dubai | 48c | 546$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.92 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Paris Basketball | 26c | 527.56$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.62 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Paris Basketball | 41c | 512.26$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.38 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Paris Basketball | 52c | 474.13$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.55 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1154…0d31backed BC Dubai | 49c | 262$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.67 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Paris Basketball | 51c | 229.49$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed BC Dubai | 49c | 172.49$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Paris Basketball | 51c | 148$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed BC Dubai | 78c | 133.3$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed BC Dubai | 68c | 129.35$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Paris Basketball | 53c | 117$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed BC Dubai | 72c | 108.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Paris Basketball | 53c | 96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Paris Basketball | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed BC Dubai | 60c | 47.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Paris Basketball | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed BC Dubai | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed BC Dubai | 78c | 40.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked BC Dubai | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed BC Dubai | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed BC Dubai | 45c | 34.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed BC Dubai | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed BC Dubai | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked BC Dubai | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed BC Dubai | 63c | 24.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked BC Dubai | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed BC Dubai | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Paris Basketball | 55c | 23.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked BC Dubai | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed BC Dubai | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.