CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: OXUJI (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7c2242074900b99b4553ec66ad82ad7edda9a57209e38aff2156ee1b39af076
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oxuji Esportsof Oxuji Esports, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,932 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Oxuji Esports | 43c | 2,484$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.16 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9a30backed Phantom | 57c | 1,447$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Phantom | 61c | 1,372$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.17 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Phantom | 57c | 1,082$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.84 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Phantom | 57c | 573.68$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed Phantom | 58c | 371.12$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.08 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…7353backed Phantom | 57c | 330.12$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oxuji Esports | 38c | 251.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…71cfbacked Phantom | 56c | 219.26$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Phantom | 60c | 208$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.72 | 455 | 44.4%202 W · 253 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Oxuji Esports | 39c | 199.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.65 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Phantom | 58c | 199.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Oxuji Esports | 39c | 69.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Oxuji Esports | 44c | 42.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Phantom | 56c | 19.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: OXUJI (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 PlayoffsOxuji Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 WinnerOxuji Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 WinnerOxuji Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.