CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7db9b97dff3c0234f43de8f7cb6d1be1c3193f0da0fe7c2e841ee8b7286a825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vocaof Voca, Marsborne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Marsborne | 45c | 772.12$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.2 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Voca | 45c | 488.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.93 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Voca | 59c | 471.13$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.03 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…20a3backed Voca | 50c | 400$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Marsborne | 38c | 273.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Marsborne | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Marsborne | 22c | 104.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Marsborne | 44c | 94.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…0ba1backed Marsborne | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup 1 PlayoffsVoca won
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne - Map 1 WinnerVoca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.